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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Saturday 1 December 2012

Hennessey Gold Cup

What a cracking day yesterday was.
Just 2 selections and BOTH WON, returning an 11pt profit on the day.
Including last Saturday, when I posted 4 selections and 2 won returning a 7pt profit on the day, I’ve posted 8 selections on the blog and FIVE, yes FIVE have won returning a 22.40pt profit on the week from 9pts staked.
Remember, I’m not interested in finding winners at less than 9/4 so, if you want odds-on shots look elsewhere.
First up yesterday was LETS GET SERIOUS and didn’t he jump well for his debut chase! That makes is 7 winners from 11 runners in chases at Doncaster for James Ewart, trainer of Lets Get Serious. I said stats like than cannot be ignored but, even so, this horse looks to have a bright future.
As for BLESS THE WINGS, what a brave horse. I thought he’d lost it when he idled after the last losing a 4-length lead, but he picked-up the bit and ran on again in the final 50 yards. Would The Knoxs have won if he hadn’t fallen? Probably not, as to get safely over the fence he’d have needed to take it slower and that would have handed the advantage firmly to Bless The Wings. I did say The Knoxs was one to drop a leg.
Many thanks for all those who had a good wager yesterday, and then pressed the donate button. It does make writing the blog worthwhile and provides me with more incentive to write again.

Onto today, and it’s the Hennessey Gold Cup at Newbury, plus supporting cards at Newcastle and Towcester – but Newcastle has an inspection planned.

The opener at Newbury has REY NACARADO running from my alert list. This horse has won twice over C&D and the latest of those wins was on soft ground off a mark of 120. He really does have a favorites chance in this race and 7/2 looks fair to me. That said, Hunters Lodge looks to be on the upgrade, and Ballyoliver has had plenty of opportunities to show he stays this sort of trip and hasn’t convinced. The others look out of it.

Have your notebook ready for the novice chase at 1:25 as this could be full of future winners. The obvious contender to win is ROLLING ACES who has been on my alert list since winning his debut novice hurdle over a year ago, but there are any number of horses that could improve considerably on what they’ve shown, and I’m thinking of Seven Woods, Merry King, and Godsmejudge.

The Hennessey is at 3:10, and I’ve been telling those within my “inner sanctum” to take the odds about FRUITY O’ROONEY for well over a week, and I’m on at 33/1. This is a race with some bookmakers paying 5 places eachway (Bet365, Paddy Power) so take advantage, as you can get 25/1 on FRUITY O’ROONEY with Bet365. I know the horse stays the trip, and he’ll handle the ground, he’s won twice on heavy! Regular readers will know I won on him at the Festival when he was a bold 2nd in the JLT Chase on the opening day. Expect a similar run today, from the front playing catch me if you can. He will have Teaforthree running with him early on, but that horse has the Welsh National as his target. For his lack of experience, Hold On Julio looks too short a price for me, and the same goes for Bobs Worth. If either of those win then they have developed into very good chasers. One who could be under the radar is Harry The Viking who, courtesy of stablemate Tidal Bay, gets in on 10st 2lb. He ran 2nd to Teaforthree at the Festival (at levels) and he could be one for the eachway punters. But, its FRUITY O’ROONEY for me.
I can’t see anything worth having a wager on at Towcester. As for Newcastle, the weather has almost killed the meeting and they really should cancel it. I feel sorry for the course as the Fighting Fifth hurdle as the jewel in their crown.

So then, the selections for the day are:

Newbury 12:15 REY NACARADO, 1pt win @ 100/30 (sorry, the 7/2 has gone so be quick)
Newbury 1:25 ROLLING ACES, ½pt each way @ 5/1 (Bet Victor and Stan James)
Newbury 3:10 FRUITY O’ROONEY, ½pt each way @ 25/1 (Bet365, paying 5 places ew)
Newbury 3:10 HARRY THE VIKING, ¼pt each way @ 25/1 (Paddy Power, paying 5 places ew)

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Remember! Betting on horseracing should be a pleasurable experience - never bet more than you can afford to lose. Thanks from Wayward Lad.

1 comment:

  1. Great work as always, Ian. You cannot help but be impressed by those stats. Keep up the good work.

    Kind regards,