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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Friday, 18 October 2013
Cheltenham - tricky opening day
There are several runners from my alert list today.
3:15 CAPTAIN SUNSHINE, VIKING BLOND and ON THE BRIDGE
5:00 HANDY ANDY
The 3:15 looks a tough handicap to solve. This 3 mile hurdle is very competitive. Last season, I noted CAPTAIN SUNSHINE when he fell at Kempton and he looks well treated today with OR140. His odds look poor value for his running style and if you fancy him it may be best to look for longer odds mid-race. He will need luck in running to win as he will appear late on the scene. VIKING BLOND was 2nd in this last year, but that ground was softer than it is today, and I think he may be outpaced. Of those from my alert list, I prefer ON THE BRIDGE who will be with the leaders and does not seem to have stopped improving. Of the others, I like horses with the benefit of a recent run, and MISSION COMPLETE fits the bill. He stays all day and usually carries bigger weights than his 10st 8lb today, so he'll think its his birthday. Thing is, nothing in this race looks value at the odds, so this is a watching race for me.
HANDY ANDY runs in the amateur riders race, the sort I usually avoid. However, this lighly raced chaser could have plenty of improvement in him and we know he stays the trip and handles the going. At 12/1 he looks worthy of an ew wager.
Finally FOXCUB impressed me when winning LTO. However, he has been hammered by the handicapper and raised 17lb.
Of the remainder of the racing, I fancy RUN AND BUTTER in the opener, and MINELLA FOR VALUE in the novice chase but, at their latest odds neithet offer value.
Cheltenham 5:00 HANDY ANDY, £5 ew @ 12/1 (available generally, use BOG bookie)