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Friday 25 October 2013

Fw: McCoy High Five

Here's me thinking that yesterday was a tricky day for finding winners, when all we had to do was follow AP McCoy at Carlisle where he rode 5 winners from 7 rides. In fact, the only horse he rode that properly disappointed, was the one I chose as the blog selection for the day. ABNAKI never got going, despite being a bit of a gamble starting as the 9/2, 3rd fav. This performance was too bad to be true, and I hope that on a better day we will see ABNAKI recover the loss. The main thing from my point of view was that I was right to oppose the market leaders.
Of the 3 runners from my alert list, 2 won in Pendra @ 4/5 and Parsnip Pete @ 7/2; the latter looking fortunate when being left in a clear lead at the final flight when his rival fell. Personally tho' I think he'd have won anyway. It is not easy to decide whether a return to hurdles for a seasonal debut for a chaser is just a prep race or a proper attempt to win. With Parsnip Pete, the horse was ready to win, but for the other horse alert runner, Billy Cuckoo, he clearly wasn't ready to race as he was soon struggling. I know from twitter that some of you were on the alert runners anyway and scored an 8/1 double with Pendra and Parsnip Pete.
PENDRA remains on the alert list as he looks destined to be a high class chaser. PARSNIP PETE also remains on the alert list and is being aimed at a chase at the Cheltenham Open Meeting in November. I think Billy Cuckoo has had his day in the sun and I'll think on him over the weekend as to whether he stays on.
Onto today and we have a meeting at Fakenham.  
WONDERFUL CHARM is on my alert list, and he makes his chase debut today in the 2:20 but he looks head & shoulders better than these and is odds on at 8/11, so no wager from me (my minimum odds for a bet are 9/4).
In the 2:50, FIRST IN THE QUEUE is also on the alert list after winner LTO so emphatically, but he's also odd-on at 5/6.  I do like the look of LIGHTENING ROD in this race as he's  a very capable hurdler on his day. While I doubt he'll win this race (unless the race-fav has a mishap) he should be up for the runners-up spot.
is odds are also
The handicap chase over 3-mile at 3:25 looks interesting and I'm not sure why there is the drift on the Nicholls runner Current Event, now trading at 11/1.  The trip is an unknown, but claimer Harry Derham is well worth his 5lb claim. One that looks interesting is VICTOR LEUDORUM ridden by AP McCoy. Mr McCoy only has one other ruide at the meeting , and trainer Charlie Mann has sent out only 3 runners from his stable in the past 14-day but 2 have won! This is his only runner today, and current odds of 10/1 look fair for this unexposed chaser who will stay the trip and enjoy the ground. There are only 10 runners and at least 4 will be trying to prove their stamina and another couple are outclassed (unless they have turned a corner) so, there's a fair chance of being placed, yet currently 3.60 (5/2) is available on the place-only market.
Finally, I think RIddlestown with confirm the placings when he re-opposes Plum Pudding in the 2m5f chase at 4:30. Riddlestown is an unexposed horse as a chaser, and more likely to improve for the recent winning run , which was only his 3rd chase. It's a class 5 race tho' and I'm never happy wagering on such lowly horses.
No recommended selections from me today, but I will probably have a place-only wager on Victor Leudorum.

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