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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Saturday 12 October 2013

Chepstow in Autumn

I love the Autumn.  What I like best is last season's horse alerts coming good again.
Yesterday,  there were 3 horses from my alert list running. SWALEDALE LAD who ran a fair race to be 2nd and will benefit from the run,  WAYWARD PRINCE who ran well for a long way in his pipe opener for the season - he can go well off a decent rating when returning to chasing.  Finally, HAROUET won at 9/1  at Carlisle returning to the form he showed last autumn. I didn't tip him as I thought he needed more give in the ground, but his class and stamina shone through. That race included Time For Spring,  I've never thought the horse stays a stiff 3-mile and I always oppose the horse at that trip.

Today, we have a great meeting at Chepstow.  There are several off my alert list running:-
SWNYMOR in the 4:45 but with McCoy not riding the Curtis trained horse I'll pass on this one.
FOX RUN in the 5:15 is a horse I expected to go better than he did as a novice hurdler. Maybe he'll imprive improve this season, but I'll watch today.
Then, in the 5:45 I have STORM SURVIVOR, THEATRICAL STAR and JOIN TOGETHER.  I reckon JOIN TOGETHER will run best on softer ground. I'm expecting a big run from THEATRICAL STAR who coukd could be very exciting.  The worry is this trip willbtest his stamina.  STORM SURVIVOR represents last years winning connections,  but he's not well in with MERRION SQUARE and at 12/1 this horse coukd be great value.  The doubt is that all his best form is on right handed tracks, but Paul Nicholls loves a winner at this meeting and he's worth a small each way wager in what, to me, is the race of the day.

Chepstow 5:45, MERRION SQUARE, £5 ew @ 12/1 (available generally,  BOG)

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