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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.

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Thursday 3 June 2010

The times they are changing

Great start to yesterday’s review of the trainers in form with a clever win from FORJATT at the remarkable odds of 6/4, given it was put-up at 8/11 in the RP BF.

Next up was CITY STYLE who, tho’ outclassed by rival Rio De La Plata ran on well enough to come 3rd at the generous odds of 9/1.

Then it was the first of my “naps” FOREST CROWN and, as expected, this 3yo filly who is a half-sister to Group 1 winner Crowded House improved considerably on her earlier run and won “head-in-chest”. This horse ran off OR83 and on this display could be 110+.

Cumani’s LUC JORDAN may have been thought to have disappointed but Mark Johnston had sent Submariner over 200 miles for this and the stable money was down. Even so, there was a significant market move for Cumani’s horse from 4/1 in the morning to 5/2 at the off.

Stoute’s only runner TIMELESS STRIDE was expected to do the business – and was my next “nap” – but again there was a major gamble going-down on another, the eventual winner Kellys Eye who won this with tonnes in hand.

I thought John Gosden’s ZANAZZI looked very green early on, but he ran on well over the final quarter-mile to finish 2nd beating the race fav, and I would expect it to improve an enormous amount for the experience.

There was a huge move for Baldings only runner WHITE DEVIL – my 3rd “nap” - from 16’s this morning (it was 10/1 at the time I posted my blog) to 4/1 before settling to 6/1 at the off. It was only beaten half-a-length into 2nd.

For those of you who trade the exchanges, my qualifiers have performed well as a trader does not need to find a winner to turn a profit. If you have benefitted then leave a comment, thanks.

There are 7 trainers “in-form” with just a single runner today:-
M Johnston with LADY ÉCLAIR in the Hamilton 4:40 – should win this;
B Smart with STORM COMMAND in the 5:10 at Hamilton (Sir Mark Prescott has his only Hamilton runner in this race – Bona Foruna);
W Haggas with DEVER DREAM in the Lingfield 4:50 – should win this;
M Bell with RED AMY in the Lingfield 2:50 – looks a tricky handicap;
M Jarvis (who can do no wrong at the moment) with DYLANESQUE in the Sandown 7:15 – this half-sister to Alessandro Volta (3rd in Irish Derby) should be capable of huge improvement on its 2yo form;
Barry Hills with HAIL PROMENADER and A Balding with ISPHAHAM both in the Sandown 7:50.

I wont be able to post the in-form trainers over the next few days as I’m away on a break (off to see my 7yo son who lives with his mum in Cornwall) but I will return on Monday. If you are enjoying the profits of this blog posting then please leave a comment. There are not many of you out there from the blog visitor stats (probably only 20 or so) as such, currently you’re able to exploit what I consider is a “gap” in the market. You can also find me on twitter (Wayward_Lad) and I usually send out a “tweet” when the blog page is posted (saves you scanning the blog page when there’s nothing new to read).

Keep winning with Wayward Lad!

3 comments:

  1. AnonymousJune 03, 2010

    Excellent write-up Wayward and I'll watch today's with interest. Well done yesterday. Are you planning on recording results with a P&L to level stakes? That would be useful.

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  2. As expected (see blog narrative) LADY ECLAIR and DEVER DREAM won their races, albeit at very short odds, just 'evens' & 4/9 respectively. RED AMY was 4th of 15, just outside the money in a tricky handicap. I am looking forward to DYLANESQUE running tonight at Sandown.

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  3. Jeez that was close! DYLANESQUE beaten just a head @ 9/1 - opened at 14's on course. Have to call that a missed opportunity.

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