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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Sunday 18 September 2011
An 8/1 winner for the blog
A tremendous day’s racing yesterday and, more importantly, an impressive performance by this blog.
I posted 2 selections on Betting League yesterday and had a cracking 8/1 winner with QUSHCHI (SP 5/1) at Newmarket. Since this horse finished 3rd to Brown Panther at Haydock in May after trying to give that horse (now rated OR118 after coming home 2nd in the recent St Leger) 2lb, she’s been in my notebook (see adjacent page). She’s a cracking filly and must be looking for some “black-type” next time out.
My other selection was TIGER REIGNS at Ayr, who I thought may repeat his win in the same race last year, but he wasn’t in the same form.
However, from my Flat Racing Notebook came a horse I’ve thought very well handicapped, and that was XILERATOR who won at Ayr – making all from start to finish – at odds of 12/1. This horse does not stay a mile (well, he might on an easy flat track), so forget his previous run at Ripon. He also has to be able to get out, lead and dominate the race – which is what he did yesterday. Given his only run as a 2yo was over this course and distance on similar going and he ran well, he should have been tipped-up by me. Even so, with two half-bro’s rated OR100+ he’s one to follow.
Another I really should have been on was CHEVETON who won the Ayr Silver Cup at 12/1. Combine the words “Ayr”, “Soft” and “September” and one name jumps out – CHEVETON. He just loves is at Ayr and I expect he’ll register another win NTO (so long as it’s in September) probably at Haydock as he did last season.
Finally, the way OUR JONATHAN won the Ayr Gold Cup was phenomenal but, it really should not have been a surprise if you look at the formbook. After a tremendous 2yo season, he started life as a 3yo rated OR111 and, as you might expect, he struggled. This season as a 4yo he’s developed into a cracking racehorse, and a look at the formbook shows back in May he was 3rd at York to HOOF IT who was running-off OR99. Now, HOOF IT is rated 20lbs higher at OR119 so to get so close to him back in May was a tremendous effort. In fact, judging by yesterday’s performance OUR JONATHAN has closed the gap on HOOF IT and had the latter taken part I doubt he would have coped with him. You might also want to put the name of the horse that split this pair back in May into your notebook – HORSERADISH seen once since when beaten in a Listed race at Windsor won by BATED BREATH. On a current rating of OR102, HORSERADISH can win when fresh off a break and looks very well handicapped indeed, possibly 10lb+ well-in.
The results since the 1st July are as follows:-
4th July, DRAGONERA, 2pts win @ 4/1; WON …8.00pts PROFIT
5th July, OFF CHANCE , 1pt win @ 7/2; lost (3rd) …1.00pts lost
5th July, FLOWING CAPE , 1pt win @ 7/2; lost (3rd) …1.00pts lost
8th July, CHARLIE COOL, 2pts win @ 11/4; WON …5.50pts PROFIT
9th July, AWZAAN, 1pt win @ 6/1; unplaced …1.00pts lost
14th July, JARROW, 1pts win @ 7/1; WON …7.00pts PROFIT
22nd July, DHAAMER, 1pt win @ 13/2; unplaced …1.00pts lost
26th July, STRONG SUIT, 1pts win @ 3/1; WON …3.00pts PROFIT
28th July, BOOGIE SHOES, 1pt EW @ 12/1; unplaced …2.00pts lost
6th August, ZUIDER ZEE, 1pt win @ 13/2; lost (2nd) …1.00pts lost
13th August, DOCOFTHEBAY, 1pt EW @ 12/1; placed 3rd …0.80pts PROFIT
19th August, NATIONALISM, 1pt EW @ 7/1; unplaced …2.00pts lost
20th August, HARLESTONE TIMES, 1pt EW @ 25/1; unplaced …2.00pts lost
23rd August, GEORGE BAKER, 2pts win @ 7/2; WON …7.00pts PROFIT
26th August, OGEE, 2pts win @ 6/1; unplaced …2.00pts lost
30th August, FASTNET STORM, 1pt EW @ 14/1; unplaced …2.00pts lost
3rd Sept, RAINFALL, 1pt win @ 4/1; unplaced …1.00pts lost
3rd Sept, FOUR NATIONS, 1pt win @ 9/2; Lost (2nd) …1.00pts lost
17th Sept, QUSHCHI, 1pt EW @ 8/1; WON …10.00pts PROFIT
17th Sept, TIGER REIGNS, 1pt EW @ 8/1; unplaced …2.00pts lost
Total = 22.30pts PROFIT (from 31pts staked = 72% return on investment)
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Betting on horseracing should be a pleasurable experience - never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Thanks from Wayward Lad.