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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Monday, 26 November 2012
Eyecatchers from the weekend
Since my return to writing the blog on 2nd November I have been on an incredible run of form posting winners at odds of
25/1 - Monbeg Dude (advised @ 40/1);
9/1 - Houblon Des Obeaux;
5/1 - Quartz De Thaix;
7/2 - Captain Chris (advised @ 4/1);
3/1 - Wyke Hill;
11/4 - Bless The Wings (advised @ 13/2);
All these have provided the blog with a profit of over 40pts since 2nd November - and this blog is FREE!
During the summer, I was seriously considering making my selections available on a phone-line for the jumps season. However, I talked myself out of that as I do enjoy writing the blog. Even so, I know the blog is read by a couple of hundred people when it's posted - and I know (via twitter) when readers have had a winner based on my opinion. So, it does stick in the throat when the donations button hasn't been used as much as I'd have expected. Onto the eyecatchers:-
In my opinion SILVINIACO CONTI should now be the 4/1 favorite for the Gold Cup. His performance on Saturday was good enough to have won the race last March. There are very few horses capable of a similar performance over the Gold Cup trip and, given he'll be just a 7yo next March, it is going to take a special horse to lower his colours then and he has to have a better than 7/1 chance (his current odds) of taking the
I was also impressed with the run from GHIZAO and if Nicholls can find a handicap chase at about 2m3f for him in the next 2 or 3 weeks he looks to be on a very, very lenient handicap of OR150. Remember, he gave Captain Chris a good tonking when giving him 10lb back in December 2010.
Yet another Paul Nicholls horse that caught my eye was BLACK THUNDER. Under top-weight, this 5yo was confidently ridden and only just failed to win.
Later in the afternoon at Haydock, QUARTZ DE THAIX repaid my support with an emphatic win. He hit a flat spot about 6f out but, before that, he was cantering when all others were struggling. The way he stayed-on and jumped his fences was very pleasing and I've no doubt he can follow-up for the har-trick.
One to possibly avoid is Sivola De Sivola. He's had a few chance now and has not come on from his win at Newbury over 3-mile. Perhaps it is time to go chasing with him.
One I had a personal wager on was SUPER ALLY. He looked like going close about a mile out in the 3m4f chase at Haydock on Saturday, but faded in the last half-mile. He can win if dropped to 3-mile NTO.
Has anyone else spotted anything worth noting?
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Thanks from Wayward Lad