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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Saturday 5 January 2013

Come on the "Dude"

A great day of horseracing featuring the Welsh National at Chepstow. But first, did you have a successful wager on VIVA COLONIA yesterday?  I did not write a blog, but at about 10am I used Twitter to advise a wager on VIVA COLONIA who went on to win at 5/1. I do not issue tips/selection’s via twitter much – it was my first selection of the week on that medium – but, as per my own rules, the win will not be included in any profit/loss calculation for the blog.
I reviewed the Welsh National earlier this week and my selection of MONBEG DUDE, currently 12/1, stands. There are a lot of front-runners in this race – Tea For Three, Giles Cross, Viking Blond and so on – and I’m expecting them all to cut each other up and leave MONBEG DUDE to snatch victory from off the pace as he did LTO. I also like the chance of OUR ISLAND @ 22/1 as a small eachway wager.
At Sandown, I do like the look of PENDRA in the 2:25 (Tolworth Hurdle) currently 8/1. This horse has a big future, no mistake, and is unbeaten from 3 races. Only 7 runners go to post tho’ so no wager advised as it looks a top race.
Later, the 3:40 looks a cracker of a chase and I’ve already highlighted the chance of Alfie Spinner (see earlier blog on Welsh National) but, as he’s a Pricewise selection, any value has already gone. I like two in this race, FRUITY O’ROONEY and JOHN’S SPIRIT. I cannot believe that Fruity O’Rooney has dropped 3lb for his 7th in the Hennessey, and that form is rock solid. A repeat should see him in the places, but it is JOHN’S SPIRIT that looks well-in if he stays the 3-mile trip. That doubt has put me off him and it is an eachway wager on FRUITY O’ROONEY @ 9/1 with Bet365 (¼ odds a place), tho' the more adventurous out there may want to combine Alfie Spinner, John's Spirit and Fruity O'Rooney in forecast combinations to small stakes.

Chepstow 3:20, MONBEG DUDE, ½pt eachway @ 12/1 (available generally)
Chepstow 3:20, OUR ISLAND, ¼pt eachway @ 22/1 (Stan James & Hills)
Sandown 3:40, FRUITY O’ROONEY, ½pt eachway @ 9/1 (Bet365, ¼ odds a place)
Total = 2½pts staked

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  1. What can I say?
    MONBEG DUDE won (courtesy of a great ride by Paul Carberry) clocking-up 7.50pts profit, and the other selection Our Island was 5th only just outside the places.
    Then, FRUITY O'ROONEY ran a very brave race to be 3rd at an SP of 10/1 (Bet365 go "best odds guaranteed") returning a further 0.75pts profit.
    Total profit on the day, 7.75pts

  2. Oh, and PENDRA was 2nd @ 8/1 having run a cracker of a race. When this horse tackles 2m4f+ he'll take some beating - and what a future chaser he is!

  3. Lastly, I did suggest combining Fruity O'Rooney, John's Spirit and Alfie Spinner in the 3:40 at Sandown and, had you placed those in 3 x £10 "swingers" on the Tote you would have collected £146.00 for the £30 stake.

  4. Excellent tipping ! Every tipster in the country seemed to have the Welsh National as a one horse race in Teaforthree, but not you. Malcolm Heyhoe in the Weekender mentioned a total of 9 horses in his piece but still couldn't find the winner !