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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Thursday 10 May 2012

Be careful out there

The 480th edition of the Wayward Lad blog.
No selections yesterday, and of the 3 races I looked at (at Chester) there's no way I could have found the winner in any of them.

The Chester Cup was started using a flag as the stalls could not be moved into position due to the rain-sodden ground. As such, the draw in that race was immaterial. Personally, I thought the jockeys did well getting away in a fair manner considering many will have had no proper experience of a flag start.  The horse I liked in the Chester Cup - HARRISON'S CAVE – was dropped out to the rear early on, while the eventual runner-up - Overturn – blazed a path up-front. HARRISON'S CAVE made significant progress in the 2nd-half of the race before his jockey realised that his position was hopeless. Even so, this was an eye-catching run and, as I wrote yesterday, I reckon he'll end the season rated 105-110 which is well about his current OR94 rating. Definitely one for the alert list.

I managed to make a successful trade on the 3:05 on LEXI'S HERO. I managed to get my stake on at 8.20 and was able to easily trade-out at 3.90 in-running as the horse ran his usual prominent race up to the 2-furlong marker.

Today, the rain has continued falling and with flag starts predicted for several of the races at Chester, I reckon it is a meeting to give a wide berth to. All the other meetings today are this evening (Goodwood has been abandoned), and with rain falling heavily around the country it is near impossible to predict which horses will run (there are lots of non-runners) never mind which will win.

So, the recommendation is (with a line from NYPD Blue) "be careful out there".

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Thanks from Wayward Lad.

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