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Record of the blog selections

Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Friday, 13 August 2010

CALATRAVA CAPE beaten in a photo-finish!

In today’s blog:
Review of yesterday’s racing
Today’s Racing Selections
2010-11 Chasers & Hurdlers Alert List

Review of yesterday’s racing
Another of my blog selections beaten in a photo-finish! CALATRAVA CAPE must have lost the lead just a yard before the post. The subject of a serious gamble (from 5/1 to 3/1) that has to go down as one that hit the bar! And the “2nd-string” Mishrif ran a much better race than the one he ran on Tuesday, coming in 2nd @ 15/2. My other blog mention went to TOQIAK, who was 3rd at 7/1 (from 12/1). So, potentially a cracking ew treble there.
Readers of the blog will know I’m a follower of trainers in form and, after my blog selection was beat, I didn’t bother returning to post an evening selection – big mistake! Willie Haggas (3 wins from 9 runners in past week) sent out just one runner yesterday, Up At Last which won at 8/1 at Chepstow. Her dam has thrown some very useful horses and it seems that Haggas was struggling to get the horse fit to race, or perhaps this drop to 6f from a mile suited it best. Even so, this horse should be followed until it’s beaten.

Today’s Racing Selections
Too much racing today to take an in-depth view of. As such, I’ve looked at trainers who have only a single entry at any particular track, and matched it with a high strike-rate.
At Newbury, there’s only Jeremy Noseda who meets the criteria (and he’s an in-form trainer as well) and he has MOUNTAIN HIKER in the 3:10. His half-bro is Darley Sun, so he could be well in off OR89 today, but he’s not for me at just 9/4.
At Newcastle, the 2:45 has two meeting the criteria; Ed Dunlop’s Gifted Apakay and Mick Channon’s EXCELLENT DAY and I fancy the latter, mainly as it has won LTO and at 7/2 it offers the better value.
At Nottingham, the 4:05 has a couple meeting the criteria in Prescott’s Sumerian, and Bell’s Bakongo, but I fancy the relatively unexposed SEA OF GALILEE from Henry Candy who has already been the subject of some money.
The evening meetings will have to wait until a 5pm bulletin (if there is one). So please return to the blog after 5pm for any evening racing selection.

No solid blog selection today, I was a bit disheartened by yesterday’s photo-finish loser. I would also like to see a bit more feedback from readers. I’ve posted my review of the whole of the Cheltenham Festival for 2010 on the attached pages, plus a statistical review – does anyone have any comment? I’m also about mid-way thru’ my review of last season Chasers & Hurdlers and I should have the name of another horse to include on your alert list tomorrow. Those already identified are – I hope – potentially well-handicapped and, being un-exposed, should be profitable to follow in the early part of the season.

2010-11 Chasers & Hurdlers Alert List
As above, no new name for the list today, but there should be another tomorrow. Currently, I’m expecting the final list to have between 15 – 20 names.

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Thanks from Wayward Lad


  1. Ive read a lot of the pages on your blog and its impressive stuff, I will certainly be keeping an eye on your horses to follow list when the NH season gets going.
    You've dug up some good stats that hopefully I will remember come the 2011 Cheltenham Festival.

  2. Did try to post a comment yesterday, but cant see that it stuck? Mabe it got lost somewhere.
    Hard not to be stung by a galling defeat but the analysis was spot on son you should be congratulated. well done.
    Read through Gold Cup day Festival Report. And its Very Very good.
    Looking fwd to reading the rest.
    TELL MASSINI scoped dirty after the Albert Bartlett but will go nov chasing next season, shame cos apart from big bucks the staying hurdle division is relatively weak.
    Keep Battling, Enjoying the Blogg so pls dont give up.
    Andy Mear