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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Saturday, 7 August 2010

Poet's Day?

In today’s blog:
Review of yesterday’s racing
Today’s Racing Selections
2010-11 Chasers & Hurdlers Alert List

Review of yesterday’s racing
I wasn’t able to post a blog yesterday.

Today’s Racing Selections
Plenty of racing available today to choose from.
Despite there being a very attractive meeting at Ascot, it is Shergar Cup day and while there look to be some good betting opportunities on paper, just how the horses get on with their riders can change the aspect of how the races are run. My personal opinion is that these sort of meetings can go against the basic rules of racing in that not every horse is ridden to its true merits. If the Jockey Club want to improve the image of flat racing (and racing in general) they would do better to make the traditional name of heritage handicaps be retained within the race title. Flat Racing is crying out for a “pattern” that the public can associate with (just look at the success of John Smiths Day at York) yet what do we have at Haydock? A £40,000 (to the winner) “Totescoop6” handicap – what on earth is that? Why cannot it retain the name it had for many years to achieve “heritage” status incorporated in its title?
So, I’m giving Ascot a miss, but I expect the likes of Benandonner, Captain Carey, Yashrid, and Colloquial to run well as they are all single entries at the meeting from their respective trainers.
At Haydock, the soft going could be just what the ex-O’Brien horse POET needs in the 2:50. A Group 3 winner last season at 10f on similar going when beating Allied Powers (now OR114) and then just beaten by Border Patrol (now OR112) in another G3, he was messed about over the winter in Dubai, but his 2 runs for Clive Cox have seen distinct improvement. He could now be back to last years’ fitness and form which would make him very interesting in this at odds of 10/1.
Dettori has a couple of interesting rides at Newmarket including one for Dandy Nicholls – REDFORD – and another for Al Zarooni – VIBRANT FORCE. He also rides a couple for Saeed Bin Suroor and may be in the mood for a hatful of wins here.
At Redcar, the 2:30 could provide the wager of the day in CITY OF THE KINGS. This one was rated OR95 after winning a class 2 at York last season. He runs off OR86 (including a 6lb penalty for a win on Monday) today and he could take an awful lot of beating.

With the rain moving over the country there are likely to be variations in the going through the day, so I’m not making a blog selection. I will be taking a personal interest in POET though, who I feel could be very difficult to keep out of the 1st-3 and may well make all and take the race at very lucrative odds.

2010-11 Chasers & Hurdlers Alert List
No further additions to the Chasers & Hurdlers Alert List today. I’m trying to find horses that are 7yo or younger and have already shown the potential to run to form at least 15lb better than their current Official Rating. In my opinion, horses already have the latent talent at 6yo and can be followed with confidence for a couple of seasons until the handicapper catches up with them.
Already on the list:
PRINCE DE BEAUCHENE, 7yo chaser trained by J Howard Johnson
KALELLSHAN, 7yo chaser trained by C Byrnes
QHILIMAR, 6yo chaser trained by A E JONES
CESIUM, 5yo 2nd season chaser trained by Tom GEORGE
ABSOLUTE SHAMBLES, 6yo 2nd season chaser trained by Chris GORDON
EBADIYAN, 5yo hurdler trained by Patrick O’BRADY
PALYPSO DE CREEK, 7yo chaser trained by Charlie LONGSDON

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