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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Thursday, 7 February 2013

Close, but no cigar

What a great run from BILLY CUCKOO yesterday but, unfortunately, it was without success. I did say in my blog yesterday that BILLY CUCKOO should be 5/2 or less, and so I was amazed that he drifted from 9/2 out to 11/2 (was over 7.00 on Betfair before the off) before settling at an SP of 5/1. Had I known his odds would drift then I'd have advised an eachway wager. Hindsight..
The horse ran just as I expected, leading from the off and trying to make all. For a horse whose jumping was well criticised in the Racing Post, I thought his jumping was exemplary, bold even at times. As such, having set a strong pace throughout, he had this field off the bridle a long way out with only the eventual winner looking capable of going with him. He jumped the last fence 3-lengths ahead but Carlisle has a stiff uphill finish and that did for him on the run-in as he lost the lead with barely 50 yards to run. He'll win a race, without a doubt, but we won't get 5/1 about him next time.

At Ludlow, GRANDIOSO won very easily and perhaps I was a bit too cautious in my assessment yesterday. However, followers of the blog will know that I don't advise wagers at odds less than 9/4 and it's unlikely that anyone would have obtained 9/4 about him. He opened at 2/1 before setting-off with an SP of 7/4.

Considering there are 3 meetings today at Huntingdon, Doncaster and Taunton, there is not a single horse from my personal alert list running. I endeavour to restrict my wagers and, as such, my advice in this blog to horses from my personal alert list as those have been identified by me as being most likely to be under-estimated by the handicapper and therefore running at an advantage. There will always be tomorrow.

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Remember - gambling on horseracing should be a pleasurable experience - never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Thanks from Wayward Lad

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