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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Wednesday, 6 February 2013

Gallox Bridge an easy winner

Altho' I didn't post any selections yesterday, I did write a very positive word for GALLOX BRIDGE who was having his chase debut at Market Rasen, and he scooted home a very easy winner at an SP of 7/4, but I managed to obtain 7/2 in the morning. Wagering on horses having their novice chase debuts is a risky business and so, on that basis, I did not advise a wager - but I did say that I was having a small personal wager on the horse (half-stakes) and he did me proud. I can see GALLOX BRIDGE improving for a step-up in trip and as he's won over 2m5f as a hurdler he should be able to stay that distance and a bit more as a chaser. For an 8yo he does not have many miles on the clock but he has now won 4 of his 9 races under rules and he looks like a 130+ chaser in the making.

Another I had a positive word for was not as pleasing with his performance; NO NO BINGO found some support in the "ring" and started at 6/1 but he never gave that support anything to cheer about and was soon tailed-off and pulled up.

The midweek horseracing is getting interesting as trainers are placing their horses for that final pre-Festival run to bring them to peak fitness. As such, you have Quartz De Thaix running over hurdles today at Carlisle having been a revelation as a 3-mile handicap chaser this season.

Later, in the 4:35 which is a handicap chase over 2m5f, I am expecting BILLY CUCKOO to repay the faith having fallen LTO when going well. He should find the heavy going there no problem as he's won on it before and, having fallen LTO, supporters should be able to find a bit of value in his odds as he looks a lot better than his OR109 rating and probably should be about 5/2, or shorter, for this race. As such, odds of 9/2 (Corals) look very generous, and he's also 4/1 with a host of other bookies.

At Ludlow, another off my personal alert list is GRANDIOSO in the 3:50 there. However, after his latest run I thought he was a bit one-paced and that a step-up in trip to something like 3-mile was needed. As such, over 2m4f today, he looks vulnerable. Followers of the blog will know that I am restricting my wagers to only those horses on my alert list as they are, in my opinion, well-handicapped and capable of winning in the right circumstances. As such, I can't wager on GRANDIOSO today in this race, but I won't wager against him either.

Just the one selection today and as I wager to £40 a point, I'm going to risk £20 win on BILLY CUCKOO @ 9/2 with Corals.

Carlisle 4:35, BILLY CUCKOO, ½pt win @ 9/2 (Corals)

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1 comment:

  1. Billy Cuckoo went off at 5/1 (had touched 11/2) and led all the way (3-lengths clear jumping the last fence) till caught less than 50 yards from the line. I could have laid-off in-running at 1.40 - but didn't!