I was kicking myself for overlooking an obvious winning wager from my horse alerts yesterday. Regular followers and readers of the blog will know that on 6th February I put-up BILLY CUCKOO as a ½pt win selection. That day, the horse ran just as I expected, leading from the off and trying to make al but he lost the lead that day with barely 50 yards to run. Next day, I wrote that I thought he'd win a race, but we wouldn't get 5/1 about him next time. Well, he did win his next race when he won yesterday at Carlisle, and he won at an SP of 13/2.
Yesterday, when I was looking at the race, I wrote that he could be found out again by a better handicapped horse, and he very nearly was found as he only just prevailed by a neck having done as much as he could to get beat by idling badly in the run-in. As with his run LTO, I didn't forecast the betting market well enough as I thought he'd start shorter than 5/1 and wouldn't be an eachway proposition, especially as there was market weakness for the disappointing fav Armedanddangerous and for the 2nd-fav Full Of Joy. My selection in the race, ET MAINTENANT did not run well and probably finds this 2m4f trip a bit short nowadays.
My other selection in the earlier race MY BOY PADDY lost his rider at the 1st fence, so we have no idea how he would have fared. I couldn't say he'd have won as the winner, Emperor's Choice the 15/8 fav, and runner-up Sydney Paget pulled well clear of the field in fighting out the finish.
There is nothing running from my personal alert list today, so I'm not making a selection.
Now that the Cheltenham Festival Bulletin is written, and If you want a copy then press the donate button on this page and donate at least £8 (you can donate more if you like, as the advice I provide in this blog is well worth an additional contribution), I am making shortlists for all the handicaps. The intention is to issue these to purchasers of the bulletin so that they have a head start in assessing the handicaps at the Festival.
Since releasing the bulletin to pre-purchasers last Saturday morning, sales have been going well and are anticipated to easily top those of last March, which was the first time I'd issued a bulletin via the blog. A good percentage of those who took the bulletin last year have returned again, and new "donators" are outnumbering the regular donators by about 3 to 1.
If you make a donation of £8.00, I will send out the bulletin - pdf version - to your email address in the evening following receipt (I send them all out at the same time) and it should be in your in-box before 8pm. Remember, those who receive the bulletin will also receive drafts of my daily blog pages on the evening before racing during the week of the Cheltenham Festival so that they can take advantage of any early value that I spot before anyone else.
Thanks for reading this blog and I hope you get enjoyment from it.
If you have a successful wager on the back of what you read here (and with over 500 regular readers, I'm assuming plenty do - that's why they keep coming back), then please make a contribution as an expression of thanks via the donate button.
Remember - gambling on horseracing should be a pleasurable experience - never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Thanks from Wayward Lad
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