This weekend is probably the final opportunity for potential Cheltenham Festival winners to have their final preparatory run. While not cast in stone, the likelihood of horses that run after Sunday 16th February going to the Festival and winning are reduced. This isn't my opinion, its a factor based on the number of days that Cheltenham Festival winners have gone since their previous run, which is an average of about 45-days.
No rules/trends/statistics are hard and fast, there will always be exceptions; but these exceptions merely prove the rule.
This time last year, I published my Cheltenham Festival Bulletin on the day before the Ascot meeting being run tomorrow and advised in that bulletin a 2pt win wager on Cue Card for the Ryanair at the then odds of 5/1. Sure enough, the horse rewarded my support with a tremendous performance on the day winning by 9-lengths.
I'm aiming on publishing my Bulletin next Friday 21st February, and initial copies will be going out to those who have already made a donation since 30th September of at least £10. Will there be another Cue Card? I hope so, and I think I've found a great opportunity on a horse currently at best odds of 33/1 in one of the "championship" races, plus a horse I think has been laid-out for the handicap chase on the opening day of the festival.
The weather has been causing havoc with the horseracing this week, and it has enabled me to get stuck into the Bulletin.
There are a couple of good races to savour this weekend at Ascot and Haydock. At Ascot, it will be due to misfortune if Captain Chris does not win the Ascot Chase over 2m5f & 110 yards, and so it could be a good opportunity to try for a straight forecast - and I think I've found an underated runner in the race who will follow the fav home. There is also a good 3-mile handicap chase there, but I'm waiting to see what is declared to run before casting my eye over the runners.
At Haydock, the Grand National Trial looks very competitive, but I think I've found one at decent odds who may be up to springing a surprise.
I'll be writing my blog for tomorrow this afternoon as I'm driving down to Cornwall in the morning to see my son for the weekend. As such, I'll be programming the blog to go online at 8am on Saturday morning.
I've had a string of runners-up from my blog selections these past few weeks and I really could do with a small change of luck.
All the best and good luck for the weekend,
from Wayward Lad
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