The 403rd edition of the Wayward Lad Blog.
What a result! Yesterday's 3m & 1½fh'cap chase proved to be a nightmare for in-running punters when the clear leader – Corkage – fell at the 2nd-last fence and, in doing so, impeded the staying-on Quel Ballistic unseating his rider. That left Eighteen Carat in a clear lead but, as I wrote yesterday, he wanted likely to stay the trip and was already a beaten horse before the 2nd-last. As such, he was running on empty and DYSTONIA'S REVENGE, who I knew would relish this test of stamina, came from well-off the pace to lead close home at the incredible odds of 22/1. You would not have given the horse a chance, even after the 2nd-last as he was possibly 20-lengths off the pace then and even at the final fence he had 15-lengths to make up. Let's be honest, the horse would not have won had Quel Ballistic not been impeded at the 2nd-last fence, but he would most likely have run 2nd to that horse. Corkage, who fell at the 2nd-last when well clear, has now failed to complete in 4 of his 5 chase starts and those who took 1.20 in-running on him approaching the 2nd-last should have taken that into account – but they didn't. As is reported in today's Racing Post, Corkage, Quel Ballistic and Eighteen Carat all traded in-running at less than 1.20 and eventual winner DYSTONIA'S REVENGE traded at 999 to £18.
As I did not put DYSTONIA'S REVENGE up as a selection with one of my monitoring services (I use Betting League and Tip Exchange) I will NOT be taking that win into account when calculating my profit. I am endeavouring to establish a link via my mobile phone to register my selections Monday-to-Friday with the above monitoring sites, but in the meantime, any selections not posted there will not count.
EMMASLEGEND who is a half-sister to the useful Aimigayle, was indeed well schooled (as I wrote yesterday) and ran out an easy winner at 2/1.
There is a decent meeting today at Newbury and only the one race takes my eye and that's the 12:50 a 3-mile class 3 handicap chase. A couple of weeks back I tipped WYKE HILL and he made an uncharacteristic error early-on and fell. He comes here today on the same rating and this improving horse will take a good deal of beating today. The fav, Paul Nicholls Minella Stars will need to improve a lot on what he showed LTO, and My Boy Paddy and Penny Max are too short in the market on form shown to date. I expected WYKE HILL to be under 4/1 for this as it looks an easier task that that which he faced LTO and he started 5/1 for that race. Therefore, current odds of 13/2 (Tote and Betfred, 6/1 elsewhere) look the value to me. I will be having 1pt eachway on him.
This blog is being written and posted remotely – so please bear with me as once it's posted I have no ability to amend it if the text colour is difficult to read.
Thanks for reading this blog to all new visitors, and I hope that readers of the blog get enjoyment form it.
The blog takes a lot of effort to maintain. If you have had a successful wager on the back of what you have read here, then please make a contribution (via the donate button) as an expression of thanks. Those that do will be rewarded with occasional supplementary information.
All comments are welcome.
Welcome to the "World of Horseracing". This blog has been providing information, comment, and selections for horseracing in the UK and Ireland since March 2010.
Welcome to the World of Horseracing
Record of the blog selections
Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
THIS IS A BOOKIES ADVERT FREE ZONE
There are NO affiliate links on this site to bookies from whom the author receives over 30% of the stakes from your lost wagers.ising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.
Wednesday, 14 December 2011
Oh so lucky with a 22/1 winner y'day
Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)
Well done on yesterday Ian. You have to take any good luck that comes your way - in my experience, there is never a shortage of bad luck to balance it out !ReplyDelete
Hi Ian, I watched the race and I'm amazed only 18 was laid at 999/1. It proves how careful you have to be laying horses on the NH. Gutsy display from horse and jockey. At they said on RUK: ''No one who have questioned the jockey if she had pulled-up'', such was the distance behind.Keep up the good work. Always a good read.ReplyDelete
Todays selection WYKE HILL was a very safe 2nd @ 15/2 which (in my opinion) was generous. Place money banked.