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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Friday, 16 December 2011
Snow is falling, all around us...
No selections for the blog yesterday.
There are 3 horses from my alert list running today:-
Heather Royal, a half-sister to Barbers Shop, who could be a lot better
than she's shown so far, and what she has done marks her out as above
average. She runs in the competitive 1:55 at Ascot where she is very
much the Henderson 2nd-string to Molotof. Smart prospect Hazy Tom is
also running and he's the current "evens" fav. As only 7 go to post
(Banyan Tree is a NR), it is unlikely that Heather Royal will finish in
the 1st-2 (unless Molotof or Hazy tom suffer a mishap) tho' she should
well finish in 3rd.
Then, in the 2:30 at Ascot, there is Frascati Park. I really like this
horse as he makes-all and jumps his fences fast and well. He walloped
another off my alert list - Kudu country - LTO by 14-lengths, and I
thought Kudu was going to be one of this seasons better novice chasers
after he won his chase debut in good style. This race could have 3
co-fav's in Chablais (Henderson), Pacha Du Polder (Nicholls) and
Kumbeshwar (King). Personally, I reckon both Chablais and Pacha Du
Polder still have it all to prove after they both won facile races on
their respective chase debuts. Kumbeshwar, is a bit more interesting
but, again, he did not excite me as much as FRASCATI PARK did with his 2
wins on soft going (which he has here today) at Carlisle. Is he a wager?
Given the competitive nature of the race, and that they are all
potential high class chasers in the making - the other 2 runners being
Zaynar and Michael Flips - I am going to have to say no, as I was
expecting to obtain odds of 8/1 or more.
At Uttoxeter, there is a 3-mile handicap hurdle at 2:20, and from my alert list runs CHAC DU CADRAN. This progressive 5yo has just had 2 runs under rules since progressing from PTP's and this trip and soft going
should be within his scope. There have been a few non-runners, but 16
still go to post as I write and that means 4-places. CHAC DU CADRAN
should make the 1st-4 comfortably, but will be hard-pressed to beat the
current 6/4 fav Thehillofuisneach who comes into this race officially
10lb well-in. When you are wagering eachway, the selection really
should have a good chance of winning the race, as the place part of the wager is the "fall-back" position to recover your stakes should the
selection not win.
I can't see CHAC DU CADRAN winning unless a mishap comes of the
favourite in his race.
As such, no selections today, tho' I would not put readers off from
having a "fun" eachway wager (2 x singles and a double) on FRASCATI PARK
and CHAC DU CADRAN.
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