The more I watched yesterdays selection SIRENUSE run, the more annoyed I got. Its one I have to put down to experience and its a valuable lesson to those reading this blog that the "best" horse in the race may not win due to other factors, and that's why you have to only wager money at odds that represent value. I can accept a horse getting beaten, but I did expect it to lead well into the final furlong and that in-running odds would go below 1.80. If you read my comments attached to yesterdays blog you will see that I was happy with the debut chase run of OVERSPIN (not a selection this one, more one to note for the future) as he jumped the 1st-8 fences perfectly well, before crumpling on landing at the 9th. Keep an eye out for his next run.
Some ordinary racing around the country today, but there is a very good meeting at Sandown. And its there that we may have an opportunity with the only runner of the day from a trainer in-form: Henry Candy's DINKUM DIAMOND in the 6:35. Now, I am not one for 2yo races and so I am not going to make this a blog selection; but the good-to-firm going will not suit the fav Cape To Rio who is by Captain Rio (and will want to get his toe in the ground). Its worth opposing the fav at these odds.
There are only 4 trainers "in-form" (ie, with 40% of runners in the places in past 14-days) with single runners out today, and along with Henry Candy we have runners from:-
RM Beckett - MISS MITTAGONG in the 9:15 at Newcastle
Ed Dunlop - DECENCY in the 5:30 at Wolverhampton (AW)
DH Brown - WHERES ROMEO in the 2:20 at Ayr
Of those, I like the chance of MISS MITTAGONG best as it travels 328 miles to Newcastle. But, Brannagh in the same race travels 245 miles for this and it looks a tricky race. DECENCY is running in a class 6 race, and those should be avoided like the plague. WHERES ROMEO is another 2yo and, at this stage of the season, young horses can improve 20lb in a matter of days so its not really realistic to be making selections.
So, another day without a wager and one to watch and savour.
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