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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Friday, 21 May 2010

One hit wonders! Sole runners from trainers in form

Despite highlighting 2 beaten runners yesterday from this selection ploy, I know from past success gained over many years (2002 onwards) that it works. These are the trainers who have achieved more than 40% “win or place” from all their stable runners in the past 14-days who have just a single runner out today.

Sir M Stoute (8 wins 12 placed 41 runners = 48.80%)
RAQEEB in the 9:00pm at Haydock, current odds 4/1

TD Barron (6 – 4 – 21 = 47.60%)
SHARP SOVERIEGN in the 5:00 at Yarmouth, current odds 100/30

J Gosden (4 – 10 – 33 = 42.40%)
VALENZANI in the 2:00 at Yarmouth, current odds

M Jarvis (5 – 5 – 24 = 41.70%)
ON THE CUSP in the 8:00 at Haydock, current odds 6/1

D Simcock (4 – 7 – 23 = 47.80%)
KING OF REASON in the 8:00 at Haydock, current odds 9/2

Of the above I particularly fancy the chance of SHARP SOVERIEGN who seems revitalised now back in the care of Barron. Was on OR68 at the start of his 3yo season this time last year and now races off OR52 after his win last time out. Also, RAQEEB may have been found a weak 10f maiden to break his duck for Sir Michael Stoute; this one is very likely to shorten-up considerably in the betting.

There are two in the same race with ON THE CUSP and KING OF REASON meeting at Haydock. I cannot split the pair as Jarvis has a 32% strike rate here with his 3yo’s, and Simcock has sent 3 x 3yo’s to Haydock and 2 of them have won! So this race could be a case of either laying the fav - the current 6/4 chance Secretive who looks like he’d be best at a trip slightly shorter than a mile – or splitting your stake.

I will give the un-raced VALENZANI a miss.

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