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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Saturday, 29 May 2010

TOMBI to the rescue

From the 3 trainers in form who I highlighted yesterday I gave you 1 winner in AVRILO - but suggested it was a "no bet" - and my selection from the trio, NORTH CAPE was beaten having set the race up for the 'danger' (which I highlighted). The other runner - DADS AMIGO - was outclassed as expected.

It seems that I'm finding winners with this selection procedure, but they are not coming from where I'm expecting. Perhaps it may be best to place a wager on all the qualifiers. Let's see what we have today.

There are 23 trainers "in form" - that is having achieved places from 40% of their runners and at least 3 winner in the past 14-days (see Sporting Life stats). Of those 23 trainers, just 4 have single entries today:-
A Bailey in the 3:30 at Haydock AUTUMN BLADES
J Gosden in the 4:30 at Newmarket KEY WEST
J Howard Johnson in the 4:15 at Beverley TOMBI
Al Zarooni in the 4:30 at Newmarket ECLIPTIC

The Newmarket race at 4:30 looks very hot and with a double-entry from the qualifiers is a no-bet situation (no doubt this will ccome back to bite me). AUTUMN BLADES looks totally outclassed in the John O' Gaunt Stakes at Haydock, so it has to be a no-bet; but then again at 66/1 is may be worth a tickle on the place-only market. TOMBI looks very interesting in the 4:15 at Beverley. This will be only his 3rd 5f race. In his 2nd he was badly hampered and did not recover, so that can be ignored. In his 1st 5f race he ran Morinqua to under 2-lengths at York as a 3yo. Todays Good-to-Firm is his going and he could be a real surprise in this race. He's 16/1 with Betfred and 14's generally - I'd take it win & place.

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