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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.

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Thursday, 16 September 2010

Curley to spring another surprise

In today’s blog:
Review of yesterday’s racing
Today’s Racing Selections

Review of yesterday’s racing
No blog selections yesterday, but the narrative gave a few decent pointers.
I advised not overlooking Sir Michael Stoute’s runners especially those at Yarmouth, and NOURIYA obliged at 11/4. Stoute also had a 9/1 winner at Beverley (his only runner there) from the 8 he sent out yesterday. Unfortunately, Yashrid (noted in the blog) was in that Beverley race and he never got a look-in, coming home last.
John Gosden sent out 6 runners yesterday and had 4 winners – all favourites – to continue his excellent form. He sends a couple all the way to Pontefract today.
At Listowel, the Kerry National was won by the progressive chaser Alfa Beat who has now won his last 4 handicap chases under the care of Charles Byrnes. No doubt about it, you should not underestimate this trainer in the coming jumps season. My tentative selection in that race, Deutschland, fell at the 1st fence, so we’ve no idea how he would have fared. David Pipe’s runner Battle Group, could only run 3rd in the novice hurdle (SP 7/1). He was dropped in trip from 22f to 20f for this, but he probably needs 22f now as he was staying-on at the end. The winner of that race ONE COOL TORNADO, looks promising and progressive. He’s being sent to Cheltenham this November and should be noted, as should ALFA BEAT who looks capable of running at a much higher level.

Today’s Racing Selections
There are three flat (turf) meetings at Ayr, Pontefract, and Yarmouth, and an AW meeting at Wolverhampton, as well as the meeting at Listowel in Ireland.
At Ayr, the 4:20 KilKerran Cup over 10f looks set-up for last year’s runner-up in this race, PLAISTERER. Comes here in top form, and that’s more that can be said for most in this race; as such, 4/1 looks fair value given he acts on this going (good-to-soft) and handles track.
I cannot see anything worth a wager at Pontefract.
At Yarmouth, Barney Curley sends a couple. The one that interests me is his progressive hurdler ZABEEL PALACE, currently 11/1. If he’s fit to race, then he’ll win this doing handsprings (he’s reated OR129 over hurdles and I usually discount by 40lbs for a flat rating, ie OR89 which makes his rating today of OR66 a handicap snip). However, if he’s spent the summer eating grass in a field then he’ll no doubt come last. Paddock inspection required!

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