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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Tuesday 14 September 2010

Indian Summer? You gotta be joking!

In today’s blog:
Review of yesterday’s racing
Today’s Racing Selections

Review of yesterday’s racing
Bit of a mixed return for yesterday. No blog selection, but the narrative provided some jewels of information.
I was right not to go for Suroor’s only runner BADEEL at Redcar as this half-brother to a selling plater could only come 2nd at 5/6. OK, I did say it may be a place-lay but, given its merits of its relatives, it was never an odds-on chance on its 2yo debut. At Brighton, the only Noseda runner, Ebony Song, won at 5/4, with the Haggas runner Skeleton well off the pace. However, for the 3:30 at Brighton I just about named the 1st-4 finishers! I advised opposing the fav Zelos Diktator and he was 2nd @ 13/8, and I said that the course winners Noah Jameel and Dancing Storm were the ones to be on, and they were 1st and 3rd respectively, the winner returning at 7/1; and I also said Dots Delight would run well if fit and she came in 4th.
Over in Ireland at Listowel, there was a decent novice chase which was won by GLENSTAL ABBEY who is now 2 from 2 over the jumps. Some might say he was fortunate as the clear leader Kotkidy fell 6-out when not looking like stopping – but there was a long way to go, and the jumps are there for a reason and Kotkidy failed.

Today’s Racing Selections

What an absolutely awful day’s racing!
There are two flat (turf) meetings at Haydock and Yarmouth, and an AW meeting at Lingfield. There has been plenty of rain in the north-west and so Haydock looks a place to avoid. There is a previous blog selection running there tho’, MUSIC OF THE MOOR in the 4:30 and this horse is stepped-up in trip to just shy of 12f today having come-up-short a few times at 10f. He has some form on ground with give and I believe that for his latest 3 runs the going has been too quick for him. His run on ‘good’ at Ripon in May saw him just btn by Yashrid when trying to give that one 6lb. Yashrid has won twice since and is now 17lb higher, whereas MUSIC OF THE MOOR is only 2lb higher. This field are all one-paced and the selection may be worth a chance today at this trip and on this going. He’s currently 13/2 as there have been a couple of non-runners (only 8 go to post).
Yarmouth looks diabolical and I’m not tempted by the Suroor runner Dafeef, nor the Cecil pair of Panoptic & Tomintoul Singer. The 5f & 43yd sprint at 4:40 could have a bit of value with LUSCIVIOUS. Drawn 10 and with stalls on the stands-side, he should grab the rail and if he gets a flyer he can lead all the way on going that will suit him, pretty much like when he last got conditions to suit at Musselburgh on 04-April. At 9/1, he looks eachway value at least.
At Lingfield, Roger Charlton runs Sugar Beet in the 2:30. If you read his very informative website (www.rogercharlton.com) you will learn that the horse reared in the stalls LTO and had no run whatsoever. Charlton is trying to get a win into the horse before it goes to the sales in October. In form trainer, John Gosden, also sends his only runner of the day here – Johnny Castle – for the 2:50 but at the odds of 7/4 it makes no appeal in what looks a competitive maiden.

I probably should know better and give racing today a miss, but I’m not, so here goes:
Haydock 4:30 MUSIC OF THE MOOR, ½pt eachway @ 13/2
Yarmouth 4:40 LUSCIVIOUS, ½pt eachway @ 9/1
Total = 2pts staked

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1 comment:

  1. MUSIC OF THE MOOR wins in a canter @ 5/1, having been advised this morning at 13/2. I was very impressed as it was cruising up the rail 2f-out when it had its ground taken and had to switch to the middle; thereon in moved effortlessly into a commanding lead. Looks good to follow-up.
    LUSCIVIOUS was caught out be the torrential rain at Yarmouth and the 5f race it was in looked like survival of the fittest and not a sprint!
    Overall, a 2.90pt profit on the day.