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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Friday 24 September 2010

Recession! What recession?

In today’s blog:
Review of yesterday’s racing
Today’s Racing Selections

Recession! What recession?
Outside of my horseracing interests, I actually hold down a job (somehow), or rather I run my own consultancy (one man band). This week it has been hectic! I am being pulled from pillar-to-post with work demands and in such situations something has to give – and today it’s the blog. So, just a brief outlook of the days racing.

Review of yesterday’s racing
Both eachway selections yesterday were in the money.
JEWELLED DAGGER ran a solid 3rd @ 7/1 (so that’s a 0.40pt profit) and considering he wants going a bit quicker than the “soft” he ran on yesterday, it was a great effort.
Then SIRVINO ran better than the result says as altho’ 2nd and btn a length he had trouble finding racing room but made rapid progress when clear and balanced in the final 150 yards. He looks poised to make a winning run next time out if getting a bit more “juice” in the ground.
That run produced another 0.20pts profit, making 0.60pts on the day.

Today’s Racing Selections
No time to look at the racing today for the reasons given above.

Some notes for the coming jumps season. I keep a file of press cuttings, mainly of Nick Mordin from the Weekender, and refer to them from time-to-time to refresh my observations of the jumps racing scene. Some valuable lessons that can be taken forward are:-
1) Make your own opinion of a race from your own notes. It is easy to be drawn-in to following the crowd, but by doing so you will start taking shorter odds than the true value. Do not be afraid to back your own judgement.
2) Make a note of and do a form assessment of and novice chaser or hurdler that achieves and RPR of 125 or greater. These are tomorrow’s champions – find them.
3) Similarly, make not of and do a form assessment of any horse that runs over 20lb better than its official rating; ie. Runs to RPR115 off OR95. These are the future handicap “snips”.
4) Do not underestimate youth. Horses get slower as they get older, but compensate by becoming more proficient at jumping. A good, young horse will beat an older horse as it is quicker – simple, but effective logic!
5) Racing Post Ratings are easily the best available for the relative cost, mainly due to their consistency.

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Thanks from Wayward Lad

1 comment:

  1. I think a lot of racing is a young horses game, the older they get the higher up the handicap they go and the more difficult it becomes to win whereas the younger ones havent got there yet and exploit their mark. Sprinters best form is usually at the begining of their career when they start that handicap climb after that they only win the odd race when everything falls into place.