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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Monday 1 November 2010

FREE WORLD: only runner for Nicholls & Walsh

In today’s blog:-
Today’s horseracing
October’s highlight’s

Today’s horseracing

There are a couple of decent jump meetings today at Kempton and Plumpton – why have both jump meetings in the South-East of England? In fact, there isn’t a meeting north of Birmingham until Haydock on Thursday – bonkers!
There are a couple of good races at Kempton, the highlight being the graduation chase at 3:10 over 2m4f & 110yards. There are 3 horses in this that I noted last season, Bakbenscher, Riverside Theatre and from my C&H Alert List, FREE WORLD. Today’s good going is likely to be too quick for Bakbenscher, tho’ he will stay this trip. I do have my doubts that Riverside Theatre will stay today’s trip, and he also has to give 3lb to FREE WORLD. I really like FREE WORLD and this small field could bring about an improved display of jumping which has been his undoing in recent runs. Odds of 7/2 look tremendous for a horse with bags of improvement to come and one that goes well when fresh. In my opinion, it will take a superlative performance to beat FREE WORLD at these weights and, take note, this is the only runner for Paul Nicholls today and the only booked ride for Ruby Walsh.
The race at 2:40, a handicap hurdle (class 2) also looks interesting. The fav Working Title is probably too short at 5/2, and I would favour his stable-mate Tasheba over him anyway. There’s been a move for Always Bold, and King’s Forest and Alderluck have claims too. For me, Working Title is a “lay”, as it’s too competitive to find a winner in this.
The meeting at my local track Plumpton is fair enough, but nothing jumps off the page at me. Venetia Williams sends just Mannlichen to the track for the opener at 12:50 and this could be a decent novice hurdler, so 9/2 looks fair value.

Kempton 3:10 FREE WORLD, 2pts win @ 7/2 (Bet365)

October’s highlight’s
October was a fairly quiet month on the selection front for the blog.
Even so, I did come up with a few cracking winners, and they weren’t all about racing either!
He may no longer best the World’s No.1 golfer, but Tiger Woods produced the best individual round of golf at the Ryder Cup and - as I predicted – ended up the joint-top US point’s scorer. If you took the advice and the odds of 11/2, you would have been rewarded with a 5.50pt profit.
Headline of the month was “TWICE OVER to make it twice over” and he did too, winning the Champions Stakes in style on a fantastic day for trainer Henry Cecil. I advised taking the odds of 9/2 in the morning (SP was 7/2).
Another winning wager was on SIR IAN (advised @ 7/2) who never looked in danger when winning. There were near misses with eachway wagers on OUZBECK (3rd @ 12/1) and ROCKITEER (2nd @ 11/1) and I feel that we can’t be far away from a winner at good odds soon to fill the coffers.
The Chasers & Hurdlers Alert List found the winners enclosure for the 1st time this season when WEIRD AL won yesterday, and there will be a lot more to come.

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Thanks from Wayward Lad

1 comment:

  1. FREE WORLD was beaten on merit here by Riverside Theatre, and he did not stay the 20f trip. I reckon he has not lost much in defeat here as on this display RIVERSIDE THEATRE is a bit special around Kempton. Who knows where this will lead? The King George on Boxing Day?
    FREE WORLD will do better dropped-back to an extended 2-mile trip and going left-handed.


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