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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Friday 9 March 2012

Another Friday winner?

The 453rd edition of the Wayward Lad blog.

Not the best of days for the blog yesterday with neither selection being successful. BALLYOLIVER ran the best, still holding a chance at the run-up to the final fence, but he had nothing left on the run-in and came 3rd. As for BILLS GREY, he's going backwards and age has caught up with him. Had he been able to repeat his form of last year then he'd have been bang there as Blazing Diva - who won the race last year – ran a good 2nd yesterday.

There is plenty of racing today, with 4 jumps meetings at Sandown, Ayr, Leicester, and Wincanton. With plenty of racing to choose from there must be a wager somewhere to take up, and the one that grabs my attention is KASBADALI in the 4:05 at Sandown. This 2m6f hurdle should be perfect for him, as will going right-handed. The only doubt is the soft going, but he handled good-to-soft well enough at Newbury and also handle the "slow" all-weather surface at Kempton on 19th Feb over 2-miles. He was also 2nd to Sivola De Sivola when last over hurdles at Newbury in November, and that looks excellent form given the positive vibes about that one for Cheltenham next week. KASBADALI is only 1lb higher in the ratings from that November run, and I think he's still on an upward curve of improvement. Henderson's Semi Colon looks one-paced, and I'm never happy about failed chasers returning to hurdles, and I reckon Paul Nicholls' Hawkes Point has been given a very high rating of OR134, one that he probably does not deserve. The horse that may upset the apple-cart it Quinte Du Chatelet, as he'll set a good pace and will love the trip and ground, but he's struggled before when rated above OR120 (he's OR125 today) and the pace he will set will help the selection KASBADALI, who I reckon should be a lot shorter than 7/2 (Ladbrokes go best odds guaranteed).

Sandown 4:05, KASBADALI, 1pt win @ 7/2 (Ladbrokes, BOG)
Total = 1pt staked

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