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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Tuesday 5 November 2013

Bonfire celebrations for McCoy?

No wagers yesterday and it was a good idea to side-step the chase debut of Duke Of Monmouth. He'd been on my alert list most of last season when he was very consistent as a 3-mile hurdler but, as regards a chase career, he has some work to do.
The major news from yesterday was that AP McCoy moved to within 2 winners of the 4,000 mark and he could well reach that milestone today at Exeter – the course where he rode his first-ever winner way back in 1994. I'm expecting McCoy to take the opener at Exeter with FLEMENSON in the novice hurdle, tho' he'll be a skinny price. It may not go his way tho' as there is plenty of support for Champagne West.  Unfortunately, McCoy does not have a ride in the feature race, the Haldon Gold Cup.  Blog favourite, CUE CARD goes for a repeat of last season's win in this race. He's giving away 17lb and some to the 5 other rivals in this year's race, but CUE CARD should have enough class to dominate the race and win. There are plenty who are willing to oppose him tho' and the unbeaten chaser William's Wishes is the one carrying their money. I'm not so sure about this one being able to take on CUE CARD, and I'm more afraid of Somersby who always runs his best race when fresh. In receipt of 17lb, he looks the one to chase the fav home.
AP McCoy has another ride in the 3:50 with Well Hello There, but this looks a competitive handicap chase. There is one runner from my personal Alert List running today and it's in this race – RYDALIS. His form looked to tail off last season after a bright start having won the 1st-2 of his 6 chases of his novice season. RYDALIS has won at Exeter before (over hurdles) and todays ground (good-to-soft, soft in places) will suit him. We know the stable is in form (3 winners on Saturday) and, in my opinion, RYDALIS is a potential OR125+ performer, which makes his mark today of OR115 very attractive. The only downside is that he's usually needed a run to get him race-fit, even last year when the Williams stable were flying in the autumn, RYDALIS needed a run. As such, I can't recommend a win wager and the odds of 6/1 do not represent value for an eachway wager either. He's a fairly good traveller, so there may be opportunity for exchange players to have a "back-to-lay" wager and try and nick a small profit by laying-off in-running.
Personally, I'd like to see AP McCoy riding Tarvini in the 4:20, as this 3-mile trip will really suit the horse who is a good staying hurdler. The ground is against him but, should there be a drying wind blowing and McCoy has managed to pick up a winner during the day, I can see AP jocking-off the lad and taking this ride to close the day.
No selections, but fingers crossed for AP McCoy.

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