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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Wednesday 20 November 2013

Heavy ground makes for testing races

Yesterday's alert runner KING OF THE WOLDS won at Fakenham in the 2:30. Not recommended as a wager due to the short odds, he looked unlikely to win approaching the final fence, whereupon the race fav Dursey Sound hit the fence hard losing jockey AP McCoy and handing the race to KING OF THE WOLDS. Fortune favours the brave, so they say, and fortune certainly favoured KING OF THE WOLDS.
The Horse Alerts have been doing well lately, even if most are going un-backed due to short-odds or my opinion being too pessimistic of their chances. Just the one runner from my alert list today, BEAU DANDY in the 2:10 at Hexham. This is a 4-mile handicap chase on heavy ground, so expect it to be a right slog. The ground is certainly a plus-point for BEAU DANDY, and the horse appears well-treated on OR99 as I reckon he's a 110+ performer. The only question mark is this extreme trip. The horse ran well enough on his seasonal debut on 1st November (I was away in Cornwall that weekend so unable to write a blog) so comes here race-fit and, being a front-running horse, he should be up with the pace thru'out, which is another positive in my mind. Horses that are held-up on heavy ground in these extreme distance races can get tailed-off and left behind and generally lose interest in the race early on. I just think the current odds are a bit slim at 4/1 and I'd like a bit more considering the state of the ground and this being a marathon trip.
So, no wagers recommended today.

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