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Monday 18 November 2013

Quiet day at the office

A fairly quiet day at the races today, with meetings at Leicester and my local track at Plumpton.
Taking in the Plumpton meeting first as that's where my horse alerts are running, I have a couple in the 1:20 which is a novice chase over 2m4f:  UXIZANDRE and HI NOTE. One of my favourite horses, the Sheena West trained mare HI NOTE always gives her all and has won me some decent money in the place-only markets despite not winning in her last 3 starts. I doubt she'll win today either as UXIZANDRE looked a seriously good novice chaser here a couple of weeks ago, managing to win despite a serious error at the 2nd-last fence. That said, there is only about 7lb between them on hurdles form and it would not surprise me to see HI NOTE chase UXIZANDRE all the way to the line. There is a 14lb weight difference in favour of HI NOTE today, and that is not insignificant.  The other runner from my alert list is INVICTA LAKE in the 3:20, a 2m5f handicap hurdle. I added INVICTA LAKE after he won at Fontwell in Dec'12 beating another Sheena West horse Ya Hafed. He's not really improved since then and altho' he won LTO at Fontwell beating a large field with 16 rivals in a good time, he's been raised 9lb for that win which looks very harsh. I'm passing him over for this as I think he'll struggle from this rating, and I think he's the sort who will find his best form when going chasing.
Looking at the Cheltenham results yesterday, DODGING BULLETS looked decent in winning the 2-mile novice chase, and he should be capable of a lot better based on his hurdle form and the fact that he's only a 5yo. Next up, and SIRE DE GRUGY showed that he is not up to the very top class as a 2-mile chaser and Sprinter Sacre has nothing to fear from him, in fact there are very few chasers in the 2-mile division better than OR160+ in my knowledge (tho' I'm sure I'll be reminded of some when I post this). Finally, top prospect RED SHERLOCK made it a great day for trainer David Pipe by taking the bumper, making it 3 wins from 3 for him. He's going hurdling now and is surely Festival bound.
No selections today.

1 comment:

  1. Three (3) runners from the alert list, and two (2) winners at 8/11 and 11/4. It looks like Suzy Smith (based at Lewes) has conjured up some improvement from the horse.