In today’s blog:
Review of last week’s racing
Today’s Racing Selections
2010-11 Chasers & Hurdlers Alert List
Review of yesterday’s racing
The blog selection ERTIKAAN was beaten by the draw yesterday in failing to get the rail. Despite a game display, he could not pass the eventual winner who hugged the rail and made all. Sandown is a difficult place to pass a strong front-runner as there is a camber to the track that can make a horse, that is trying to overtake, unbalanced. I was particularly disappointed as the SP on ERTIKAAN was 6/1. On Betfair, the odds drifted to 8.0+ (7/1) and I increased my stake from 2pts to 5pts to take advantage, averaging odds of 7.00. I laid-off in-running 3pts @ 4.0 and 2pts @ 3.05, so had ERTIKAAN won I stood to win 16.90pts less commission. It was not to be and so, another 2pts lost to the blog. What is good about the exchanges is they allow bets to be laid-off to secure a “no-loss” situation. Of course, that is at reduced profit, but if you don’t lose then you can only win.
I did not report yesterday the brilliant news that both CANFORD CLIFFS and DICK TURPIN are to stay in training as 4yo’s. Jumps’ racing has undergone a renaissance in recent years and its popularity is in no small part due to the affection the racing public has for the horses that can grace the jumps racing scene for as much as 8 years, and you can relate to them. The Flat racing authorities have to try and create the same sort of affection for that sphere too. We need good horses to stay in training as 4yo’s, 5yo’ and longer if possible. Hats off to connections for this brave decision – more please.
The “2nd-string” selections came up with some good winners even if the blog selection failed. The stat about jockey Adrian Nicholls in “sellers & claimers” came good! He won in the claimer at Catterick on GALPIN JUNIOR @ 11/4. That now makes his stats in similar races 48 wins in 144 races (33.33%). Well done to ‘The Laird’ who writes the blog “Sprinterstogo” for spotting that one.
And from the trainers-in-form, James Fanshawe’s only runner INCENDO won @ 5/2 (by 5-lengths!)
Today’s Racing Selections
This afternoon’s meeting at Bath looks dire, and is best avoided. There is an attractive meeting at Sandown, but there's only one race that takes my eye, and that’s the 3:55 a Class 3 handicap over 10f. This race looks a weak affair and therefore the Mark Johnston runner Yourgunnubelucky has strong claims and looks a solid fav. Given the weakness of the opposition, he looks the most solid option and 11/2 looks generous (¼ odds the place, and Hills also go best odds guaranteed).
The most interesting racing takes places this evening tho’, and with heavy race forecast – I’m in Aldershot and it’s chucking it down as I write, and the sky is dark with heavy raincloud – it may be best to watch the weather and return at 5pm for a look at the evening racing.
2010-11 Chasers & Hurdlers Alert List
I will post up the next horse for the alert list with the evening blog at 5pm.
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Thanks from Wayward Lad
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