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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Thursday 15 July 2010

When it rains, it pours!

In today’s blog:
Review of last week’s racing
Today’s Racing Selections

Review of yesterday’s racing
Yesterday’s selection in the 4:30 at Lingfield DOCOFTHEBAY was well beaten, with 2pts lost. That’s not to say he wasn’t a good choice as he looked like making a major challenge at the 2f pole as the field entered the short straight, but he couldn’t find a way thru’. As I commented after the race (see yesterday’s blog) I had seriously considered Benandonner, the eventual 7/1 winner, but overlooked him; mainly as he was 1 of 3 confirmed front-runners in the race and I thought they’d be likely to be caught by a strong finisher on the line. That, and I rated Benandonner a 4/1 chance and (at 10:30am when I was writing my blog) it was likely he’d start at those odds or shorter. For some reason, Benandonner took a “drift” in the market (I made a comment on the Betfair forum to that fact) out to 10.0 (9/1) before being supported. Had I known he’d start at 7/1 then he’d have been the selection as there was no-way I could see him being outside the 1st-3; but an each-way wager on a 4/1 chance most likely to be placed is a losing wager at ¼odds. To rub salt in, DOCOFTHEBAY had an SP of just 6/1 (from 10/1), there being some serious money before the off.

Today’s Racing Selections
When it rains, it pours! There are 6 meetings in the UK with 5 of them on the flat. The afternoon meetings at Hamilton and Leicester don’t look very attractive with lots of class 5 & 6 races. However, the Class 3 conditions race at 3:50 at Leicester could be interesting if we knew which of these horses was going to run true to form as they all come here on the back of a disappointing run. The booking of Keiren Fallon on the Elsworth trained Myplacelater catches the eye, as Fallon rode a winner for Elsworth at Windsor on Monday.
The plan today is to take a bit more time and examine the evening meetings and have a “part II” blog posting later on before 5pm.

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