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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Tuesday 6 July 2010

Tremendous 6/1 winner advised yesterday

In today’s blog:
Review of yesterday’s Racing
Today’s Racing Selections
World Cup

Review of yesterday’s Racing
It all came good yesterday, with DESERT POPPY winning at odds of 6/1. I did say in the blog that she could be a lot better than her OR76 rating, and I think she could turn out to be OR88+. It was a big ask to come out and win on her 3yo debut from seasoned, race-fit older horses and that’s why I advised not taking less than 6/1. In fact, DESERT POPPY touched 8/1 in the closing minutes before the off. If you visited the blog again before the race, you will see that I advised taking the 7/1 on offer at the time to 1pt each-way. So that’s 8.40pts profit. You may also have noticed my late comment about Equuleus Pictor in the same race, and the going. This horse has only ever won on good-to-soft going or softer and, in 21 starts on good or quicker, it’s only been placed 5 times. Why it started at 7/1 is beyond me and I managed to lay-it to be unplaced in-running when it was leading after 3-furlongs. As expected, it faded and finished out of the places.

At what about trainers in-form? Jeremy Noseda made it 2 winners from 3 runners in 3 days when his sole runner of the day SQUALL took the 9:20 at Ripon at 9/4. I didn’t make it a selection but you should have seriously considered its chances. And what about BROADWAY DANCER in the same race? This well-bred maiden was 3rd at 20/1 – the best advice is available free on the Wayward Lad blog!

Another trainer in-form is Mark Johnston. He can be difficult to follow as he has 200 horses in-training at his stable and it’s not unusual for him to send out 8 or more on a single day. Yesterday, he sent out 4 runners; 3 to Ripon and just 1 to Windsor. The runner at Windsor won at 8/1 (was the “tissue” fav at 5/2 in the RP), and he had 2 winner at Ripon at 5/1 and 5/4 with his other runner finishing 2nd, beaten by SQUALL. That was a fantastic 120/1 treble.

Today’s Racing Selections
It looks rather poor racing today, probably as the Newmarket July Meeting is later this week. After winning with 3 from 4 yesterday, Mark Johnston sends out only EPIC for the 3:00 at Pontefract, but this looks a tricky affair, especially as Geoff Harker has his only runner out today – AUTUMN HARVEST – in the same race, and Fahey also has a fancied runner.

So, I cannot see any value at the moment. Maybe more later on.

World Cup
Yesterday, I wrote on the blog that Netherlands face Germany in the Semi-Final of the World Cup, but in fact they meet Uruguay. I really hope those who follow this blog took the 9/1 which I advised on 21st June about The Netherlands , it looks like a cracking opportunity for a big win and more than makes up for the disappointing efforts made in the opening round of fixtures.

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Thanks from Wayward Lad

1 comment:

  1. Big day on Wed being the opening day of the July Meeting at Newmarket, and I think I have a potential long-odds winner. Visit the blog tomorrow to find out!