In today’s blog:
Review of last week’s racing
Today’s Racing Selections
Review of yesterday’s racing
Yesterday’s selection HIDDEN GLORY, ran a shocker. For his connections, its back to the drawing board. For the blog, 2pts lost.
The background theme to this blog is trainer-form, suggesting that by focusing on trainers who have their stables in top-form and are sending out just 1 or 2 runners from a stable of perhaps over 100 horses is a way to find winners; and identifying them gives you the edge. Yesterday, for instance, punters pal Sir Mark Prescott sent out a single runner – it won at 7/4. What about Roger Charlton? He sent out 2 runners to different tracks – both won at 11/10 and 3/1. How about Ralph Beckett? He sent out 3 runners and had 2 winners (both odds on). Hugh Morrison sent out 2 runners and had a 14/1 winner. Last but not least, I highlighted David Elsworth’s only runner yesterday - MYPLACELATER – and it won at 6/1 (unfortunately, not a blog selection).
Trainers, that’s the way to go!
Today’s Racing Selections
Plenty of racing to choose from today. Avertor was a blog selection a few weeks back but was a non-runner. Roger Charlton has been very selective in looking for a race for this one (whose dam was a sister to Avonbridge, top-class prolific sprinter and winner of Prix de l´Abbaye, and half-sister to Patavellian, also a top sprinter and winner of Prix de l´Abbaye). Avertor is Charlton’s only runner at Haydock this afternoon, in the 2:55 and could prove hard to beat off OR80 as this may turn out to be a group class sprinter (OR110+). The money is down now as he’s just 11/4 from 9/2 this morning.
Of the other meetings, at Newbury there is a class 4 fillies handicap and Paul D’Arcy seems to have found a weak race for his improving filly ICE DIVA. A winner at the 10f trip LTO, before that she was beaten by Agent Charlie a short-head and he’s also won since. The others in the race look like they need to improve a fair bit. Add to that D’Arcy has won 4 from just 10 runners at Newbury in past 5 years and he is very selective with his small stable and odds of 7/2 (Ladbroke) look generous.
Now then, time for a bit of speculation and I’m going for a long-odds each-way double. At Hamilton, willie Haggas sends just BONNIE CHARLIE 360 miles here, and he’s had 6 winners from 12 runners at the track. BONNIE CHARLIE gets the good-to-soft going he craves and a bold run is expected. He’s 14/1 (from 16’s) but dropping, so get in quick. At Pontefract, GO GO GREEN has won here 3 times from 4 starts at the 5-furlong trip. He loves it here and gets the Good-to-Firm going too. He ran very well off OR86 on his last run at 5f (winner Hotham has won again since, as has runner-up Favourite Girl), and he’s dropped to OR83 after a poor run at 6-furlongs.
Newbury ICE DIVA, 2pts win @ 7/2 (Ladbrokes)
Hamilton 7:45 BONNIE CHARLIE @ 14/1
Pontefract 7:35 GO GO GREEN @ 10/1
0.50pts each-way double
Total= 3pts staked
Thanks for reading this blog to all new visitors. Feel free to tell those who you think may find the blog of interest and value and, if you are a regular visitor, please add the blog to your list of favourites.
Thanks from Wayward Lad
Welcome to the "World of Horseracing". This blog has been providing information, comment, and selections for horseracing in the UK and Ireland since March 2010.
Welcome to the World of Horseracing
Record of the blog selections
Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
THIS IS A BOOKIES ADVERT FREE ZONE
There are NO affiliate links on this site to bookies from whom the author receives over 30% of the stakes from your lost wagers.ising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.
Friday, 16 July 2010
Ice, ice baby!
Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)
Post a Comment
Note: only a member of this blog may post a comment.