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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Tuesday 8 February 2011

No place for unwarranted criticism in racing

No blog posted yesterday, but that does not mean the racing was not interesting. I spent the afternoon updating the Horse Alert List results section.
Not the best Horses-to-Follow list there is, it did not lose much in the past month. I’m hoping that there will be a couple of long-odds winners from the list as there are still a few yet to race, though (with more than a few running well-off their best form) it is more “hope” than expectancy.

Yesterday, there were a couple of poor results for fav backers. Vino Griego jumped very poorly at Lingfield, and the 2/5 “on” fav could only finish 3rd. Next-up, there was an interesting duel between the 2 market leaders in the 20f novice hurdle, and the fav Cresswell Crusader looked the stronger from 3-out. But jumping right at the 2nd-last and again at the last showed there was little left in the tank, and the Timmy Murphy ridden Not Til Monday stayed-on best on the run-in. The 5lb claimer Rachel Green received some criticism for her ride on the beaten fav, but in my opinion AP McCoy would not have won on it as the horse did not stay the trip (well enough to win). Had the jockeys been reversed, I’m sure that Not Til Monday (being 10lb better off if ridden by Rachel Green) would have won the race in a canter.

There are meetings at Sedgefield and Market Rasen today.
The meeting at Market Rasen leaves me a bit cold – absolutely dire stuff going on there.
Sedgefield looks a better prospect for interesting racing.
THE KNOXS, trained by Howard Johnson, beat Wymott over hurdles last season at level weights, and that shows how much potential he has – if he can manage to finish. He’s not done that in 2 tries at chasing yet, but he did jump well enough (before falling) to suggest he has plenty of potential in this sphere. Whether you can have him at just 7/4 is debateable. Lord Villez and Pyracantha look decent types (altho’ they were beaten LTO by another Howard Johnson horse) and do not overlook Lightening Rod, who has his chase debut today and was another capable hurdler. I’d be looking for 9/4 about THE KNOXS here.
The extreme 3m3f & 110 yards of the h’cap hurdle at 3:25 will find out any stamina doubts here, and the nod must go to C&D winner FRENCH TIES. He jinked-off the course LTO, but he was fav for that race and this looks an easier task. If Overlady is given an easy lead then she may defy a break of 674 days, but for me the form preference is FRENCH TIES, tho’ again I’d be looking for more than the 3/1 currently on offer (4’s will tempt me into a wager).

As such, no selections today. There is always another day.

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